I have never been able to follow a time block agenda that I put up. That led me to ask why do we not have probabilistic time blocking and ever since I've been obsessed with the idea.
Our lives are de facto uncertain to varying degrees. Any task you set out to do has an expected amount of time it will take to complete with certain amount of variance. Why do we not let our piror probabilies adapt over time based on the type of tasks and context (your health, energy levels etc.). Essentially learning what we call Conditional Probabilities in probability theory. Something like this:
P(task_duration | task_type, time_of_day, mood_today, energy_today, X_past)
This week I set out to finally build it.